Are You Dumb?

“You’re never as smart as you think you are, and you are never as dumb as you appear.” Some of you are feeling smart right now. You’ve had a few good years and there’s been a little chest-pounding going on.

It could be that you are smart, or it could be that you got lucky because of a once-in-a-lifetime market shift in your favor.

And of course, there are times when you feel dumb. Maybe you are or maybe you aren’t. You might be a victim of a bad set of circumstances. Some of you have had bad franchises in bad locations or it could be that you’re a newer used car manager that inherited a hot mess for a used car inventory.

Or it could be you’re just dumb.

In any given set of circumstances, it’s important to maximize whatever you have. If you have half a brain you must ask yourself, “did you maximize your potential the last few years?”

Sure, you had record profits, but how much did you leave on the table?

Did you do a lot of things right or did you just get lucky?

With grosses starting to slide a lot of dealers are starting to question themselves as to where the market is going and what approach they should take moving forward.

The most important thing right now is recognizing where you are, how you got there, and how to keep the train on the tracks.

This business continues to be:

All about the basics.
All about the fundamentals.
All about your disciplines.
All about the processes.
All about understanding the data.
All about common sense.
All about your focus.

“You have brains in your head. You have feet in your shoes. You can steer yourself any direction you choose.”

That’s all that Dr. Seuss and I are gonna say, Tommy Gibbs

Is Forecasting a Waste of Time?

I’m betting you’ve either got a lot of numbers already laid out on a spreadsheet for 2024 or you’re scrambling to get it done in the next few days.

I’m a big proponent of forecasting. It lays out a map as to where we are going. Although there are detours along the way it gives us a chance to get to our final destination.

I’m an even bigger proponent of department head meetings. I believe your job as a leader should be to teach, educate, coach and encourage your team to seek ways to improve your operations.

I tend to take a common-sense approach to most things in life and I approach forecasting and monthly management meetings no differently.

Dealers, or any business for that matter, tend to forecast based on what they would like to do in the upcoming year.

Often it’s based on statements such as “we need to increase our sales by 10%” and/or “we need to reduce expenses by 15%.”

Saying you want to increase your business by 10% sounds good, but if you don’t have a plan to get there what good is it?

I’ve always been baffled by annual forecasting.

One of two things usually happens:

1. Someone is overly optimistic and/or they are blowing smoke up someone’s butt.

2. Someone serves up a low ball because they don’t want the pressure of hitting an unrealistic number.

Although dealers want to see an improvement in the next year’s numbers, what they really want is a number they can take to the bank.

In order to do a realistic forecast, you have to take into account staffing, inventory, and market conditions. How can anyone do a forecast and predict what those three pieces of the equation are going to look like 3, 6 or 12 months down the road?

I’m not saying you shouldn’t do an annual forecast, but doesn’t it make more sense to adjust that forecast monthly or quarterly based on those three fundamental elements?

Because most leaders don’t make those adjustments it frustrates the management team and defeats whatever good intentions there might have been. Everyone eventually loses respect and confidence in any type of forecasting and concludes “Why bother?”

While it makes good sense to do a monthly or quarterly review of the actual numbers, managers become disillusioned with these reviews in that they become a “beat up” session rather than trying to figure out what went wrong and how “we” can fix it.

People know when they didn’t perform. What they want from upper management is leadership that gives well-defined ideas and direction on how to “fix it” or make it better.

Using more common sense with your forecasting and monthly management meetings will help you grow a solid organization that generates consistent profits and sustained growth.



That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy Gibbs

What If You Lose Your Head Coach?

The recent suspension of the University of Michigan’s head football coach, Jim Harbaugh, stirred conversations about the impact of losing a key leader.

His offensive coordinator, Sherrone Moore,, stepped up and secured three consecutive victories in his absence.

This prompts me to ask a crucial question – what if you were to lose your head coach even if for just one day?

In the automotive business, your head coach could be likened to your Desk Manager, Sales Manager, GSM, GM, or owner-operator.

The importance of leadership, preparation, and team development cannot be overstated when it comes to maximizing your business on a daily basis.

The success of the University of Michigan’s football team in the absence of their head coach highlights the significance of preparation and team cohesion.

Much like a well-coached football team, a successful dealership should be capable of sustaining momentum even when a key manager is absent.

Michigan’s victories were not a stroke of luck but a testament to the meticulous preparation by the head coach. The coaching staff and players were ready to adapt, showcasing the depth of leadership and the resilience of a well-prepared team.

In the automotive business, when a key manager is out of the store, you will often see sales fall off.

Is there a culture of continuous development and coaching within the organization? Too often, the lack of success in a manager’s absence can be traced back to inadequate leadership rather than the competency of the stand-in.

Their role extends beyond day-to-day operations; they are the architects of a winning team. Effective leaders cultivate a culture of learning, adaptability, and accountability. When a key leader is absent, the dealership should seamlessly transition, drawing strength from the foundation laid by the head coach.

To ensure success in the absence of a key manager, a winning culture must be ingrained in the dealership’s DNA.

If there’s a breakdown in your store when a key player is out, you must ask yourself, is it that your “head coach” is concerned about job security and doesn’t want the assistants to learn but so much, or do you have the wrong assistants on your team?

Keep an eye on your head coach. That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy

It’s Thanksgiving…Give Thanks And

It’s Thanksgiving and time to give thanks.

If you’re like me for sure you have a lot to be thankful for. Among many things I’m thankful for are your friendship and support.

Thanksgiving also starts the closeout of the year. It centers around Black Friday and rolls through the last week of the year. Like it or not, 2024 is already here.

I’ve listed some very basic ideas you need to take into consideration that will help you finish strong and get ready for your best year ever:

A. Re-commit yourself- and your thinking towards being the very best you can be. Take stock of all those great ideas running around in your head.

Write them down and make a commitment to get them done by certain dates. Post it on the wall in several places that you will see frequently. If you have a private restroom, put it on the mirror.

The dealers and GMs with the most successful used car operations are those who have taken ownership of the used car department.

The more involved you get, the more success your dealership will have. If you’re not committed to the used car business, it’s a safe bet your team isn’t either.

B. Re-evaluate the appearance of your inventory. One of those disciplines might be to do a weekly lot walk. Every car in your inventory must be touched. If it’s in service, touch it. If it’s in prep, touch it. If it’s in the budget center, touch it.

Everybody touches it. Even if you think you have your disciplines well defined inside your head, you’d be well served to make a written list and check them off from time to time.

D. Re-Recon-Take every unit over 30 days old back through a recon process. (You’ve already missed your best window of opportunity to make gross; that would be the first 20 days.)

E. Re-Invest in yourself and your management team. Do something to gain some knowledge. Hire me, visit CarMax, or visit a dealer friend in another state that does a good job in used. Attend a workshop. Join a Twenty Group. Join a Used Car Twenty Group. Do something besides sitting there and waiting for something to happen.

F. Re-think- your management team. Do you have the right person running your used car operation?

Yes, that person may have been with you for years. Loyalty sometimes equals mediocrity. Maybe they have some great skills, but the fact is that you may not be making the best use of their talents. Get them in the right seat on the bus or help them find a different bus.

I’m thankful for lots of things this holiday season and I’m especially thankful that you’ve taken the time to read my little Zingers.

That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy Gibbs.

Is Resistance Kicking Your Ass?

Resistance is everywhere. It’s all those people yelling at you that it can’t be done. It’s you thinking, “I could never.”

It’s those around you throwing out the caution flag saying, “Are you sure, do you really think you can do that?”

It’s those friends, relatives and co-workers saying, “Hey, don’t leave us here, we like you being a part of our woes, please don’t run off and leave us.”

You have faith in yourself. You know you can do it. But, resistance keeps yelling at you from the far left hand lower corner of your brain, “Have you lost your damn mind? You can’t take such a chance.”

Momentarily you overcome the yelling, but then the yelling starts again, even louder, “You’re too old, you’re too young, you don’t have the experience, you don’t have the education, you haven’t been there and done that yet.”

Resistance is fear. It’s you being scared. It’s you being afraid to take a chance.

Resistance is as natural as the sun coming up each day.

Resistance is you being afraid to swing from your heels and go for the fences.

If you’re going to ever have your break out moment.

If you’re going to make it happen.

If you’re going to climb the mountain.

If you’re going to control your destiny.

If you’re gonna kick ass and take names.

All these ifs…

At some point you need to tell resistance where to go and get on with it. You’re smarter than resistance. I believe in you. A lot of people believe in you. You believe in you. Let’s go.


That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy Gibbs

Was Joe Maddon Right?

Joe Maddon, renowned for his achievements, clinched a World Series Title with the Chicago Cubs and secured the American League pennant with the Tampa Bay Rays. Although he briefly managed the Los Angeles Angels before parting ways in 2022, his tenure there was marked by limited success.

Maddon’s quirky personality, though not my personal favorite, is undeniably matched by his remarkable success in the field of baseball. In a recent article published in the Tampa Bay Times, he shared his perspective on why he hasn’t received any job offers since his departure. ARTICLE

Part of the reason, he believes, can be attributed to a book he authored titled, “The Book of Joe: Trying Not to Suck at Baseball & Life.”

This book provides insights into how general managers have increasingly relied on analytics, relegating on-field managers to a secondary role.

Maddon’s book includes a thought-provoking passage: “When I first embarked on this journey in the early 2000s, baseball people held the reins, while the analytical minds observed from the periphery. Now, it’s the analytical minds steering the ship, with baseball people peering from outside. There was a time when analytics were the exception, but today, they define the essence of baseball, while traditional methods stand as the outliers. The roles have been entirely reversed.”

One of my workshop titles is “When Common Sense Meets Technology.” I’m a staunch advocate for technology, having created a life cycle and recon tool called “Up Your Gross.” Nonetheless, I often ponder whether we’ve delved so deep into technology that we’ve neglected the importance of common sense.

One immutable truth remains: every used car is unique. Regardless of the technology at our disposal, only our senses can discern the subtle nuances of a vehicle. Your automotive acumen, your expertise, and your street smarts are the ultimate determinants of success in your used car department.

You can engage with a multitude of buttons, but if you overlook the “brain-in-gear” button, you’ll never reach your full potential. Common sense should remain at the forefront, even in the age of technology.

Far too many people “overthink” things these days. And they often “over data” things as well.

Dr. Suess said it well, “You have brains in your head. You have feet in your shoes. You can steer yourself any direction you choose.”

Let common sense meet technology. That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy Gibbs

The Realty of Perception

Perception

Being a leader is often a challenge because of the workplace environment we find ourselves in.

Being a leader is like being a parent. For example, if one parent stays at home, it can be more difficult to discipline the children due to being around them all the time.

Most of my readers are in the automobile business and are often around the same people for 12 plus hours a day. Most dealerships have systems and processes in place designed to create focus and discipline. Even under the best of circumstances processes are constantly breaking down which contributes to poor performance and a poor bottom line.

The reality is that it’s much easier to run a large dealership than a small one. As a leader in a large dealership, you can delegate much more and separate yourself from some of the personalities that can cause the breakdown of discipline.

Do not take that to mean that you don’t need to be involved, friendly or whatever. It just means you have to separate yourself from the emotional side of the equation. If you are in a smaller dealership the task of separating yourself from the staff is even more daunting.

I’m often amazed that leaders feel that they can socialize with staff members and still be able to properly manage and lead them. How can you:

1. Have lunch with the same people all the time?
2. Have dinner with spouses and members of your team on a regular basis?
3. Have after work drinks with staff members?
4. Party with staff members?
5. Attend sporting events with staff members?
6. Play golf on weekends with staff members?

Any of these in and of themselves is not a bad thing. But, to do any of this with the same person on a consistent basis does nothing but create problems for you and them. Aside from the fact it makes it difficult for you to manage them (let alone fire them) it creates a perception of favoritism that will destroy morale and team spirit.

Never forget, perception is reality. If you perceive that I’m a jerk, then I’m a jerk. The only way for that to change is for me to work toward changing your perception of me. The burden is on me, not you.

That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy Gibbs

Are You a Profit Time Dealer?

Sometime back around 2018 you will recall a paradigm shift in the vAuto world in their thinking on used vehicles.

The shift taking place was about changing your thinking of a unit’s age from pure days, which they refer to as “Calendar Time,” into a tool called “ProfitTime,” which is more focused on a unit’s overall investment potential.

Because the used car automobile business has returned to a more normal depreciation cycle of values dealers are once more focused than ever on getting back to a more discipline basics of running their used car departments.

There’s nothing more important that you can do than to management the life cycle of each used car based on its profit potential.

To understand this idea a little bit more and how it relates to UpYourGross’ Life Cycle Management, let’s consider Velocity principles and the problem ProfitTime is trying to solve.

The Problem

Velocity principles would teach us that turning and burning units can boost ROI and allow grosses to accumulate. For many years, total gross vs. average gross has been something many of us have been focused on.

But what if there are some vehicles that we could have made more money on had we allowed ourselves to hold them a little longer and price them with a little extra gross built-in?

Strictly following the Velocity principles would leave these grosses on the table. As a general statement, holding a trade-in a little longer than something you acquired at an auction should make good sense to you.

The Solution

Rather than applying the exact same turn and burn strategy to every unit, what if we intelligently managed how we priced units based on their investment potential? This would allow us to strike a balance between applying a turn and burn mentality to the vehicles that require it, and seeking more gross for our great investment units.

This is exactly what vAuto has tried to capture with ProfitTime. They give each unit in your inventory an investment score each day. These scores range from 1-12 and segment into precious metal buckets. This allows you to understand each vehicle’s investment potential and execute a strategy that attempts to strike a balance between turn and burn units and hold out on good deal units.

So This Means Days Don’t Matter, Right?

Well sort of, but not so fast. Let’s step back a bit and take a closer look at the factors that drive a vehicle’s investment potential. Once you have a unit in your inventory, its investment potential is based on the gross the vehicle can generate.

Essentially, how well you bought the vehicle (odometer-adjusted cost-to-market) and the market conditions for that particular unit (Like-Mine Day Supply and Market Sales Volume). ProfitTime wraps these data elements together to determine the vehicle’s investment potential.

I’d envision using ProfitTime to understand a unit’s profit potential so that you can price your cars more optimally on day one and so that you can keep them priced right as their profit potential changes. This should allow you to strike a better balance between turn and burn units and staying firm on good deals.

It’s important to note that this investment potential doesn’t care if the unit is one day old or 40 days old. Therefore, from the ProfitTime perspective, how long you’ve owned the car simply does not matter.

However, I would be careful to not generalize and make a blanket statement that days don’t matter at all. If you just sit on a vehicle that was deemed to be Platinum on day one, it won’t look too rosy on day 100. In fact, as the days pass, the unit’s investment score will worsen, as would be expected with any depreciating asset.

Where Do Days Come Into Play Then?

Days still come into play when you are looking at your ROI. This is because ROI is not only based on the gross you’ve made, but also on how long it took you to make that gross. This all starts to come together when you see the bigger picture.

Vehicles with low-profit potential from the get-go will see their ROIs start substantially lower than vehicles with a higher profit potential. This gives you less time to move these units from day one if you expect an investment return. You can think of this as buying a green banana versus a brown banana. The green banana has more time to be useful on day one, while the brown banana is already running out of time.

You can still make money on brown bananas, but you must sell them fast and understand all the pluses that go along with cranking up the volume with brown bananas.

Additionally, vehicles with factors that lead to quicker depreciating market values will see their profit potential decline at a faster rate than vehicles with steadier market conditions.

These units will have pressure to be moved quickly too.

In nearly all cases, each day that ticks off the calendar lowers the vehicle’s ROI, even if its gross doesn’t go down. However, the starting ROI and rate at which the ROI deteriorates each day will vary for different vehicles.

How does ProfitTime fit Into UpYourGross’s Life Cycle Management Philosophy?

At UpYourGross we’ve been preaching a lot about a life cycle management philosophy that is built on the concept of having a unique strategy for every unit. The reason we do this is we recognize that not all vehicles are created equal. When we talk about a concept like setting an auction purchase unit to a shorter life cycle, we are essentially saying this vehicle has less gross potential, therefore, it’s ROI will automatically start lower than that of, say, a customer acquisition unit. Therefore, we need to get rid of it faster.

You can strike similarities between the concept of ProfitTime and Life Cycle as follows. Calendar Time is simply the vehicle’s true time or age in inventory. Intelligently setting a unique Life Cycle to a vehicle means that its expiration date is no longer tied to Calendar Time; rather, it’s tied to its investment potential. An auction purchase might expire at day 45 while a customer acquisition expires at day 60. This philosophy operates on the same fundamentals as ProfitTime.

So if Profit Time and Life Cycle are Similar Why do I need Both?

The truth is each tool offers you a distinct benefit and those benefits increase in value when used together. While you don’t have to have ProfitTime to use the Life Cycle management tool we’ve built with UpYourGross, knowing a vehicles ProfitTime score makes “intelligently” setting the Life Cycle for each unit a bit more analytical rather than purely experience-based.

This isn’t to say that there’s no place for experience, but as many of us know making decisions backed by data is a good foundation for establishing consistent and repeatable processes.

And, you don’t need UpYourGross to use ProfitTime. But when you pair the two together, they put you in the driver’s seat of driving more gross to your bottom line.

Think of it this way, the ProfitTime score will help you select and updated a unit’s life cycle and UpYourGross will help you manage your inventory when you end up with many different units all following distinct life cycles. With UpYourGross, you’ll be able to easily see which units are about to expire and know what units you should be focusing on.

I guess you could build a massive spreadsheet and hire someone to punch data into it all day to help you keep track of it all.

However, we recognized that establishing and managing a unique strategy for every unit could be a daunting task to manage in spreadsheets-the exact reason we created UpYourGross in the first place.

What if I’m not Ready for ProfitTime?

If you’re not ready to make the jump to ProfitTime, I’d still encourage you to stop treating all vehicles the same. Not all vehicles deserve a generic 60 or 90 days just because you find that process and inventory age timeline simple to implement.

Try following a process that sets a unique strategy for every unit and see how easy it is to manage that process with UpYourGross.

You might just be surprised at how your bottom line starts to look when you combine ProfitTime and UpYourGross. That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy Gibbs

Written by Tommy Gibbs & Jarrod Tanton, Founders of UpYourGross.Com

Your Intentions?

There are a lot of common problems when it comes to the used car operations for new car dealers.

But of all the problems and challenges that dealers face, the number one problem is that dealers trade or buy a unit and have a lack of “intent.”

Most would say, “Of course I have intent. I intend to sell this unit and make some money.” That makes total sense, but the problem is, it’s far too general.

That’s like saying you’re going to drive from NY to LA without a plan on how you intend to get there.

How many of you have ever heard the saying, “Every used car has to stand on its own?” If you’ve been around long enough you understand the term and can probably agree with the statement.

That being true, how can you give them all the same shelf life?

How can you not have a specific intent for each unit?

Most managers don’t think, “What’s my intent,” when a unit comes into their inventory. They paint them all with the same broad brush, which doesn’t make a lot of sense.Intent starts with the appraisal and is finalized during the trade walk, where the “final intent” is determined.

If dealership managers would look at each unit and clearly state their intent, they would have fewer inventory problems, turn would improve, and average gross, volume and ROI would go up.

I’m not going to go into the details here in this newsletter, but my life cycle management process gives you the disciplines to determine and carry out your “intent.”


My intent with this article is not to try to sell you something. My intent is to get you to think harder about what your own intent happens to be when you bring units into your inventory. That’s all I’m gonna say,

Relentless

I’ve always loved the word “relentless.” There’s no higher compliment than someone saying that you are relentless.
In simple terms it means someone who is determined to do something and refuses to give up.
They get knocked down.
They get up.
They never give up.
In the journey of life, we often encounter obstacles, setbacks, and challenges that can seem insurmountable. It’s during these moments that the quality of relentlessness can make all the difference between success and failure.
Being relentless means refusing to give up, no matter how tough the going gets. It’s a trait that has been the driving force behind countless achievements and inspiring stories throughout history.
Here are 7 Bullet Points of Relentlessness:
1. Overcoming Adversity: Relentless individuals are those who see adversity as an opportunity rather than a roadblock. They understand that setbacks are a natural part of the path to success. Instead of being discouraged by failures, they use them as stepping-stones to propel themselves forward.
2. Unwavering Determination: Being relentless requires an unwavering determination to achieve one’s goals. It means setting your sights on a target and refusing to be swayed by distractions, doubts, or naysayers. Whether you’re striving for personal growth, career success, or any other aspiration, this determination keeps you on course even when the seas are rough.
3. Learning and Adaptation: Being relentless doesn’t mean stubbornly sticking to a single path no matter what. It means being adaptable and open to learning from your experiences. If one approach isn’t working, a relentless person will pivot, reassess, and try a different strategy, always with the ultimate goal in mind.
4. Pushing Beyond Comfort Zones: Achieving remarkable things often requires pushing beyond your comfort zone. A relentless mindset encourages you to embrace discomfort and uncertainty because you understand that these are the places where true growth and innovation happen.
5. Resilience: Resilience is the cornerstone of relentlessness. It’s the ability to bounce back from failure, rejection, and disappointment with renewed vigor. Relentless individuals view challenges as opportunities to test their resilience and come back stronger.
6. Inspiration to Others: Being relentless doesn’t just benefit you; it also inspires others. When people see your unwavering commitment and determination, they’re more likely to believe in their own abilities to overcome challenges and achieve their dreams.
7. The Road to Success: History is replete with examples of relentless individuals who achieved greatness against all odds. People like Thomas Edison, who failed over a thousand times before inventing the light bulb, or J.K. Rowling, who faced numerous rejections before publishing the Harry Potter series, teach us that relentlessness can turn dreams into reality.
So, if you’re striving for something extraordinary, cultivate the power of relentlessness within yourself. Remember that success often lies just beyond the point where most people would have given up. Embrace challenges, learn from failures, and keep pushing forward. You have the potential to achieve greatness; all it takes is an unwavering commitment to being relentless in your pursuit of your dreams.
In conclusion, being relentless is a quality that can transform your life. It’s the secret sauce that helps you conquer adversity, stay determined in the face of setbacks, and ultimately reach your goals.
The secret sauce. That’s all I’m gonna say, Tommy Gibbs